Skip to content

Production reference and best guess: research plan

Experiment Question Priority Waits for State
252 Does the best-guess stack score within 0.05 points of BG2 at the eight Primaries with no stack forecast? High (cards) Nothing Planned
353 How well does Primary demand research default 3's stack forecast D8 when the MVA meter's fold is modelled? High (maintainer asked) Nothing Planned
360 Which of BG2's five Primary members carries its lead over the GAM stack at D8? Medium (maintainer agreed 2026-10-27) Nothing Planned
333 Does a pre-trained time-series foundation model (Chronos-2), used zero-shot with or without weather covariates, come close to Primary demand research default 3? Medium Nothing Planned
Proposed Boosted-tree sunshine term in the stack against Primary demand research default 3 Medium Nothing Proposed
Unnumbered Pre-registered hard switch on the member share of cold ensemble members (D3b) with the replicate-year cold nights pooled, against Primary demand research default 3 Medium Nothing Proposed

Planned experiments

Experiment Hypothesis Relevance